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jasonpaulburke

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Posts: 468

(04/27/08 4:17 AM)

USRA Race Secretary
SOPL International

Hi,

Please choose your race to review and add a reply to this post. If you want to do a specific race please add a reply stating which race, this way it will stop trainers reviewing the same race.Please edit the post though rather than adding a new one.

Week 13

Race	1	£675,000 Irish Champion Stakes - Lee Cara
Race	2	£12,000 Irish Juvenile Maiden - Lee Cara
Race	3	£32,000 Irish November Handicap - Lee Cara
Race	4	£100,000 Champagne Stakes - Jason Burke
Race	5	£70,000 May Hill Stakes - Davy Robertson
Race	6	£100,000 Doncaster Cup - Jason Burke
Race	7	£50,000 Portland Handicap
Race	8	£475,000 St. Leger
Race	9	£70,000 Flying Childers Stakes - Padraig Hogan
Race	10	£100,000 Park Stakes
Race	11	£350,000 St. Leger Yearling Stakes
Race	12	£100,000 Celebration Mile
Race	13	£15,000 Liathroidsneacta Maiden
Race	14	£65,000 Rose Of Lancaster Stakes
Race	15	£300,000 Haydock Sprint Cup - Jason Burke
Race	16	£80,000 Totesport Stakes Handicap
Race	17	£75,000 Old Borough Cup Handicap
Race	18	£12,000 Southwell Juveniles Maiden
Race	19	£10,000 Southwell Sprint Maiden
Race	20	£12,000 Southwell Classic Maiden
Race	21	£10,000 Haydock Juvenile Maiden (R) - Jason Burke
Race	22	£12,000 Haydock Dash Maiden (R)

Race	23	£12,000 Haydock Mile Maiden (R) - Lee Cara
Race	24	£10,000 Haydock Seven Maiden (B) - George Morgan
Race	25	£10,000 Haydock Ten Maiden (B) - George Morgan

Last Edited By: yogidunsh 04/29/08 2:17 AM. Edited 12 times.

jasonpaulburke

Race 4 ~ £100,000 Champagne Stakes ~ 7f ~ Doncaster ~ Gd-Fm

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Posts: 469

(04/27/08 4:32 AM)

USRA Race Secretary
SOPL International

Gormenghast - First time at this trip. Is just as good over 7f. On a winning run of 4. One to beat.
Jazz Man - Still a maiden from 9 races. Has alot of ability. Should run well but wil be behind Gormenghast.
Dim Sim - Likes 7f but not upto this type of race. Needs a big drop in class.
Claps - Trainer has some speedy types. This one yet to show any real ability. Drop in class needed.
Greylami - Won over trip and ground in Week 5 on debut. Should definately give Gormenghast a race.
Fast Company - A good horse. 3rd in The Richmond Stakes. Will like 7f but alot of improvement needed.
Tap On Wood - Yet to finish higher than 12th. Will struggle to get involved on that form.
T Shirt Sun Tan - A fantastic debut in Week 5 when 4th to Greylami in a good field. Struggled since. E.W chances.
Proud King - Good debut when 2nd ahead of the majority of these. 7f looks like it wil suit better. Dangerous.
First Fool - Won a mdn in Wk10 ahead of Proud King.Will like the ground. Should be thereabouts.
New Gambo - Good debut when 5th. Will run a good race but will find a few difficult to get past in this.
The Drunken Irishman - Fantastic last time out when he won Malton Nursey. Trainer confident. One to watch.
El A Vation - Debutant from new yard. Best watched today.
Gaping Chasm - Debutant from a trainer who his 1/63. Best watched today.
Tipperary All Star - Debutant from Mr Donaldson's Castlemilk Stables. Best watched today.

Summary: A smallish field but a few with good E/W chances. Grelami has finish 2nd to Gormenghast twice over 6f. Greylami prefers 7f but Mr Hogan has said that his charge is just as good over 7f. Gormenghast is on a winning run of 4 races and is sure to make it 5 in a row here, Greylami will again finish second but should give Gormenghast a good race. First Fool likes firm ground so he should run well and clinch third. Others that will be thereabouts will be Proud King, The Drunken Irishman and T Shirt Sun Tan.

Winner Gormenghast 2nd Greylami 3rd First Fool 4th Proud King

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 04/27/08 1:33 PM. Edited 4 times.

jasonpaulburke

Race 21 ~ 10,000 Haydock Juvenile Maiden (R) ~ 1m ~ Haydock ~ Firm

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Posts: 470

(04/27/08 4:33 AM)

USRA Race Secretary
SOPL International

Mag - Towards the rear in 4 starts. A drop in class here but will still struggle.
Topsoil - Been towards the rear in most starts. Drop in class should see this improve.
Rolly Polly - Rated 42. Likes to finish towards the rear. Same again here.
Inzaghi - Finished last twice. Not going to give speedster his first winner.
Oh So Sharp - Has some ability. Dropped in class. Was 12th In the Stonhenge. E/W chances.
Tali - Fantastic 3rd last time out in the Vintage Stakes over 7f. Should be thereabouts in this.
Silent Witness - Doesn't have a great chance on recent form. Prefers 1m though and dropped in class.
Reggae Charm - Good 6th on debut. 11th in Stonehenge. Drop in class gives this a real chance here.
Hogwarts Express - Finished towards rear on debut. Trainer 0/90. Wills struggle in this.
Candy Gal - Another that is normally out the back in races. Same again here.
Spacious - Perfect conditions today. Injured lto. Finished 8th in two very good maidens. Dangerous.
Flying Machine - Debutant from Mr Devlin's yard. best watched today.
Ibn Khaldoun - Newcomer from a very good yard. Conditions look perfect. Could be the best of the debutants.
The Regent - Debutant from a trainer who is 2/135. Will need the run.
Longevite - Debutant from new yard. Best watched today.
Crushed Rock - Another debutant. Conditions suit but may need the run.
Dorothy Perkins - Debutant best watched.
Strike Diamonds - Debutant from a trainer who is dangerous at this level. Watch the market.

Summary: A very poor field for a restricted maiden. Only one to talk about from the ones that have visited a racecourse and that is Spacious. She was injured last time out but previous to that race finished 8th of a 20 plus field in better company. This drop in class and weak field should see major improvement. The debutants look like the horses to watch out for Strike Diamonds, Dorothy Perkins and Ibn Khaldoun who has perfect conditions. If this course suits then he should be thereabouts. I am going to go with Spacious to win from Ibn Khaldoun in second with Strike Diamonds in third.

Winner Spacious 2nd Ibn Khaldoun 3rd Strike Diamonds 4th Reggae Charm

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 04/27/08 1:33 PM. Edited 3 times.

leecara

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Posts: 371

(04/27/08 4:44 AM)

SOPL Punter's Hall

RACE 1
IRISH CHAMPION STAKES

BAXTER - Likely to show no more form till back on dirt
WORLD WAR - Banded winner this season likely to find this hard here
HILL LOW - Been highly tried this season needs to drop in grade to be winning
LUNAR TAPE - Handicap winner who has decent form tho unlikely to win could go close
BLUE MONDEO - Best horse in league for me seems pad has finally broke daves dominace over 10f
TIME AWAY - Will be finishing its race well but for minor honours at best
SOLD FOR GOLD - G1 winner already this season very consistant should run honest race again
EQUAL - Has form to win restristed or banded race but not in this grade
FORT WILLIAM HENRY - No chance on all known form
PRINCE - Wont be sitting on blue mondeos throne
PARTY GIRL - Good run in maiden needs to reproduce that to have any sort of chance
AUTUMN MOON - Fair horse but has a lot on its plate today
ESAS NIGHTMARE - The so nearly horse for leon may sneak place but will run honest race as usual
HANDCUFF - Already has g1 placing but this race looks harder cud suprise tho
CRIMSON TIDE - Average horse in above average race liely to struggle
OSANA - Btn of 51 in 2 handicaps cant have here
WEEKEND HUSSLER - Nice impossing sort ran blue mondeo very close lately cud easily turn the form round here
OFFSIDE - needs dramatic improvement to take a hand here
PURPLE DREAMS - Another 1 who has had easier races than this without winning likely cant have here
WINDY TURN - Stables horses arent setting world alight so far this needs to be very good here
DR HOUSE - Will be amazed if this one can go in first time up best watched from new stable
THATS JAZZ - Beats work out easily who has decent form i have napped her this week tho needs to be special
DEATH TODAY - Think this one will be dying late on best watched
BICKIS THE ONE - Debutante from new yard best watched
TCHAIKOVSKY - Jamie likes this one but thinks ground aint soft enough for her watch with intrest
LABBAC - Said to need firm ground , debut from debutante stbale likey to struggle
GRYPHONS CALL - Debutante from sleeping giant of a stable only vallada knows wat this is capable of
AGHATE DE SAISY - Trainer only has 5 horses and starting this one of in top grade best watched
LEAGUE HERO - It will be if it can roll the big 2 best watched tho
MAIN STREET - Should be one of the better debutantes watching brief advised

SUMMARY
This realistically looks between the star gelding BLUE MONDEO and the new kid on the block WEEKEND HUSSLER whom ran this one close latest , others to note are g1 winning mare SOLD FOR GOLD , and g1 placing HANDCUFF , two highly thought of debutantes to note are THATS JAZZ stable has few decent 10f horses to rate this one by and TCHAIKOVSKY

PREDICTIONS
1ST- THATS JAZZ 2ND-BLUE MONDEO 3RD- SOLD FOR GOLD 4TH- ESAS NIGHTMARE 5TH- HANDCUFF

Last Edited By: leecara 04/27/08 10:53 AM. Edited 1 times.

davylad

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Posts: 346

(04/27/08 8:14 AM)

Wk13 R5 £70000 May Hill Stakes (Open Race) Group 2 ~ 2YO ~ Filles/mares ~ 1m (8f) ~ Turf ~ Good to firm ~ Doncaster

Dark Zulu : Good 3^rd in the Stonehenge Stakes LTO should be thereabouts again

Evil Scientist : Won a restricted maiden over 7f but may not see out the mile

Kingsgate Delphine : Best run was on good ground at Goodwood, ground a worry

Teslin : Maiden race winner over 7f on only start for top trainer, major contender

Elks : May have a chance running against elks

Thing from Uranus : Consistent form should be top five again

Ubber : Been running over 6f stamina has to be taken on trust

Sheva : Behind a few of these on debut, needs to improve

The Laughing Gnome : Just got up to beat I Me You on debut, big chance again

Her Name is Rio : Suited by further, top five at best

Extal : Races too keen early on, dismiss

Fire Dancer : Needs to improve and trainer thinks it may not last home

Kitty Tang : Midfield in both starts to date

I Me You : Top two finish in three outings, must be right in this

Forgotten Voice : Stonehenge Stakes winner sure to be one of the favourites for this

Wellington Booties : DBW

Beau : DBW

Sacred Portal : DBW

Lahan : DBW

Tulip : DBW

Summary : I Me You has just been touched off twice in races over 1m on g/f ground, the first time was by The Laughing Gnome and the second was by Forgotten Voice, in between those races it won on good ground so there not much between these three on the formbook. Teslin won it's only start to date over 7f on g/s ground at Haydock and hails from a top yard but will it handle the firmer going and see out the mile?

Others with form that could show well are Dark Zulu, Thing from Uranus and Kingsgate Delphine.

Forecast 1^st Forgotten Voice 2^nd The Laughing Gnome 3^rd I Me You

Last Edited By: davylad 04/27/08 10:08 AM. Edited 1 times.

leecara

[-]

Posts: 372

(04/27/08 9:52 AM)

SOPL Punter's Hall

RACE 2 IRISH JUVENILE MAIDEN

EVIL JAG - D/D horse looks likely to improve for step up in trip but will probely need more to win here
MAY WE GO - Sprint bred and modest form to date unlikely to improve for this trip
SANDMAN - One piece of form over shorter bred for this trip but probely lacks class to win should run ok tho
HAZY CLUB - Started season well over much shorter distance this looks a step to far
CORNWALLIS - Modest form over 7 needs to improve for extra trip tho this looks poor to jv,s standards
HILL OF COCKLAW - Been getting readily outpaced of much shorther will like the distance but best watched
GERMANY - I would like to think its an improvement on stables horses but watching brief is advised
TWICE OVER - Impressive debut then copped shocker ride likes the trip should run solid race
CARD WARRIOR - Been running ok but not wats required to win here shouldnt finish to far behind leaders
CRAZY CHICK - Comes from decent stable whom have been in the winners this season tho this will have to be serious horse
HEAVEN SCENT - Never set world alight on debut but champ thinks it will do better here so i will agree with him
BOOKBINDER - Very intresting runner good handicap run latest up to more suitable trip here nice e/w bet
GIANT STRIDES - Stayed on very well latest extra trip looks in favour here very solid chance
KAPADARK - Unlikely to trouble the judge here tho wont be last
RATED R SUPERSTAR - Got nice bold name but can she back it up should run close according to trainer
CELTIC SWING - Comes from decent stable tho this usually isnt his sphere one of the more likely ones
WILMORE - Debutante from new stable got a feeling this will be a rude awakening for stable
SOUNDS OF THE WICKED - Comes from an ever improving yard cud suprise a few here
NOBLESSE - Colms horses have struggled this season tho he seems to like this one best watched
YELLOW FEVER - Unlikely to be good enough here best watched today

SUMMARY
Doesnt seem much depth to this race and its likely involve just these few TWICE OVER impressive debut followed by jockey giving field 10l , HEAVEN SCENT poor debut but trainers says it will leave that behind here ,BOOKBINDER e/w value of the race , RATED R SUPERSTAR dave usually does well in this sphere likely fav here , eyecatcher for tho is GIANT STRIDES lived up to its name latest staying on well over 1m 2 debutantes to watch are SOUNDS OF WICKED and CELTIC SWING

PREDICTIONS
1ST- Heaven Scent 2ND- Giant Strides 3RD-Rated R Superstar 4TH- Twice Over 5th- Celtic Swing

leecara

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Posts: 373

(04/27/08 10:21 AM)

SOPL Punter's Hall

RACE 3
IRISH NOVEMEBER HANDICAP

PLEASENT CAT - Prob got most unjust rating ive ever seen no chance here
PRINCESS PEREIRA - Top horse but anchored down with lots of weight hard to see this one winning
FOOT OF THE CROSS - Very nice type whom is likely to struggle with the weight
ALMOND GEEZER - Had better opertunities than this doesnt look no star but should still go close
SURVIVAL SKILLS - Stayed on for remote 4th latest likely to settle for minor honours again here
DROMDERRIG - Form inst wats required to win here likely to struggle here
MOSSBOROUGH - Looks well handicapped but just wont have pace to trouble leaders they will be other days tho
DRAWING - Already has 3 races in the bag this season likely to have big say at the end
KING OF THE BUNNIES - Has run well once this season but has to contend with 16lb higher mark than that run
RIOAGO - All the way sucess in banded race latest still lightly weighted cud suprise a few
FERAL - Consistant mid field runner anchored down by weight here
MOSQUITO - Fair debut and handicapper has taken no chances with this one fair e/w chance
ELECTROCUTION - Gots lots of weight and very little form will struggle here
FULLER FECK - 2 average handicap runs lately well weighted still has e/w chance
JULIO MARINER - Doesnt beat many home and should be same story here
DONE A BUNK - Nice run latest step up in trip should suit has good shout here
IRON LUNG - No lung bursting efforts so far likely to struggle here
PAST TENSE - Has some ability how much we will soon see cud sneak a place
PORTLAND BILL - Wasnt sure u cud get 37 rating in just 2 runs no chance here
PROSULATE - Stable excells over this trip nicely wieghted wont be far away
CHELTENHAM - Looked likely winner latest till finding trip to far has favs chance here for me
BLAKELOCK - Well fancied latest by stable meet well in sort tho likely to struggle in this grade
ALCONACA - Was of the screen in poor banded race latest likely not to finish
HOT HOT LOVE - Seems to have some ability but will be found out over this trip
SEVENTIES FASHION - My idea of the winner tho may get outpaced over this shorter trip

SUMMARY
Tricky handicap were a pin prick seems the best option tho i really like the look of 2 they are SEVENTIES FASHION and CHELTENHAM both have meet this season were fashion came out on top but the step back in trip is likely to suit cheltenahm more . Others with chances are PROSULATE , FULLER FECK , ALOMOND GEEZER AND DRAWING

PREDICTIONS
1ST- Cheltenham 2ND- Seventies fashion 3RD-Drawing 4TH-Fuller Feck 5TH- Almond Geezer

Speedster591

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Posts: 139

(04/27/08 11:38 AM)

President
Frankie Dettori Racing League

Race 24: Haydock Seven Maiden

Harry Potter- Not much of an impression on the track and trainer rather unknown, first run in a banded, but others might be too good.

Saratoga Sunrise- Has to be respected for being in touching distance, has to be an each way shot, has fairly decent form with one horse reaching a place prize has to be respected.

Dolf- Huge drop in class, but highlight run should be his first after coming 8th of 20 in the Irish 2000 Guineas, drop in class should help and he is the one to beat.

Brookside- Also dropped in class, and trainer has been unlucky with injuries in several banded races, interesting entry, place prospects.

Alpine Change- Kind of lost her way after coming 2nd in a Maiden race on first outing, will like the drop in class and sure to trouble the field.

One Time At Bandcamp- Form just speaks for itself, trainer has no form, horse was last on her 1st "attempt", will need a torch to get home.

General Nedser- Form not really convincing, however it may help with the drop in class, best watched.

Standing Ovation- Trainer has been intouch several times, something tells me this horse has a great oppotunity to get a promising career underway, watch the betting.

Emerald Green- Trainer has already had a winner, and seems to do well in banded company, betting market should guide.

Palitaint- Debut trainer needs experience at this game, best watched.

Quite a balanced contest with Dolf who is definatly on course for breaking his maiden, will be followed by Saratoga Sunset and Alpine Change can surely have a go at Dolf, others like Brookside and Emerald Green may have to settle for 4th.

1st-Dolf 2nd- Saratoga Sunset 3rd- Alpine Change

Speedster591

[-]

Posts: 140

(04/27/08 12:14 PM)

President
Frankie Dettori Racing League

Race 25: Haydock Ten Maiden

Erins Island- Made quite a good impression on the track when 5th in a maiden race, first run in a banded, solid each way chances.

Linden Lime- Should have been put in banded races a long time ago, has a good chance but each way at best here.

Flog Away- First run is very promising, dropped in class for this event, should be therabouts.

The Hague- Definatly has a solid chance after the Arlington Million Race and will make his presence felt after that later runs don't pose much threat, but drop to banded level makes him a leading contender.

Desert Teladism- Last run was promising, beat Invasor a solid banded handicapper, will be a solid favourite in this contest after proving himself.

Fork Lightninf- First run for trainer, check the betting.

Daft as a Brush- First run for trainer, and trainers debut best watched.

Possibly the Best- First run for trainer, check the betting.

Hornpipe- Trainers debut, best watched.

Palitaint- Debut trainer needs experience at this game, best watched.

Beauty Rae- First run for new trainer best watched.

Zero Affect- First run for trainer, watch the betting.

Again quite a balanced contest with Desert Teledism a hot favourite, with the experience with this sort of race, however The Hague could be their after a good run in the Arlington Million, Flog Away should be there as well.

1st-Desert Teledism 2nd- The Hague 3rd- Flog Away

pst193

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Posts: 311

(04/27/08 12:26 PM)

jasonpaulburke wrote:

First Fool - Won a mdn in Wk10 ahead of Proud King.Will like the ground. Should be thereabouts.

Summary: First Fool likes firm ground so he should run well and clinch third. Others that will be thereabouts will be Proud King, The Drunken Irishman and T Shirt Sun Tan.

Winner Gormenghast 2nd Greylami 3rd First Fool 4th Proud King

Jason - I havent updated my horses comments in TOM yet and might have given your race preview a different slant - my comments would have read "First Fool will chew Gormenghast and Greylami up and spit them out !!!!" They are both great horses but I am super confident.

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