Race Reviews

2 Kudos

Add Reply New Topic New Poll

<< Previous Topic Next Topic >>

Author

Comment

colmodea

Race Reviews

Lead

[-]

Posts: 1706

(02/04/08 3:54 PM)

President
SOPL International

Tags : None

Race-Card writeups
I know there's more writers out there than we see each week. Write-Ups must be in by Wednesday Midnight GMT (so DUS can have time to publish them in the top rate racecard). I will be locking the post after midnight, so no late entries.

So, each week after the racecard is published (or after Wednesday midnight GMT), all trainers will be asked to vote for their favourite/best writeup (to be decided by midday GMT on Saturday and you can't vote for yourself).

This will be three seperate competitions over the season.
Weeks 2 to 6 (inclusive) - The winner will be given the option for a cool €1m bonus or an extra horse upload at Week 8 window.
Weeks 7 to 12 (inclusive) - The winner will be given the option for a cool €1m bonus or an extra horse upload at pre Week 13 window.
Weeks 13 to 18 (inclusive) - The winner will be given the option for a cool €1m bonus or an extra horse upload at Week 1 the following season.

The most voted trainer each week will get 10 points and the 2nd most votes will earn 5. Winners will be announced in time to take advantage of the upload windows.

Goodluck to all

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 292

(02/17/08 4:33 AM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Right!- I think I will get things started.

Please choose your race to review and add a reply to this post. If you want to do a specific race please add a reply stating which race. This way it will stop trainers reviewing the same race. Please edit the post though rather than adding a new one.

WEEK 3

Race 1 - UAE Derby - Jason Burke
Race 2 - Dubai Sheema Classic - Davy Robertson
Race 3 - Dubai Golden Shaheen - Paul Tweddle
Race 4 - Dubai Duty Free - Jason Burke
Race 5 - Dubai World Cup - Dave Archibald
Race 6 - Rosebery Stakes Handicap - Graham Douglas
Race 7 - Queen`s Prize Handicap - Chris Dean
Race 8 - Further Flight Stakes - Jason Burke
Race 9 - Nottingham Juvenile Maiden
Race 10 - Goodwood Iron Race
Race 11 - Baker Tilly Trophy - George Morgan
Race 12 - Predominate Stakes - Padraig Hogan
Race 13 - Lupe Stakes
Race 14 - Greenham Stakes
Race 15 - Fred Darling Stakes
Race 16 - Spring Cup Handicap
Race 17 - Full Of Surprises Handicap - Leon Van Rensburg
Race 18 - Newbury Dash
Race 19 - Newbury Classic
Race 20 - Newbury Stayers Race
Race 21 - The "Leon is too hopeless to win a race" banded Handicap - Leon Van Rensburg
Race 22 - The Leon is owned by ESA Banded Handicap - Leon Van Rensburg

Thanks
Jay

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 02/20/08 9:17 AM. Edited 11 times.

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 293

(02/17/08 4:42 AM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Wk3 R1 UAE Derby

Let Me Entertain You - Excellent win in the Lincoln last week. Daver Fuller has targetted this race. Very dangerous
Your Mince - Good show last week when 5th in 1m1f maiden last week. Up in class. Place prospects and best.
Red Bull - First time out for Pony and WhatsUpBoys. D&D horse from Dave Fuller so should have a good ability. Might need an extra furlong. Best watched.
Merve The Swerve - Towards the rear in both outings. Wont stay. Oppose.
Quality Street - Only seen once running over 7f in Week 1. Trip will suit though but will be a big surprise if thereabouts. No chance.
Astrid Nine - Two brilliant shows in Week 1 and Week 2. Trainer expecing more on turf. Should be in shakeup still.
Birkside - Near last in only start. Making up the numbers. No chance.
Oriental Rose - 3rd in 1m2f maiden in Week 1. Trainer quotes "loves dirt thats all it will be running on". One to watch.
Rushing Away - Consistent after two races. Trainer has big hopes. Keep close.
Pestral Dom - Debut in SOPL. Trainer has some good sorts so could surprise. Lively Outsider
Wrong Direction - One win from one after winning 1m4f maiden. Big drop in trip though. Trainer still confident as always. Best watched.
Late To The Party - Newbie trainer looks like he has some ok horses. Will be outclassed here though. One to watch in the Restricted/Banded races.
Victory Cube - No show in both starts which is a surprise coming from a top stable. Oppose.
Ramruma - Trainer confident and expecting improvement here. No show for me im affraid say.
Salli De La Kentu - Pulled up in the Masaka last week. Lovely filly. Will be outclassed here though. Place prospects at best.
By The Book - Very consistent and looks a top horse. The main danger to Let Me Entertain You. Dangerous. Will be in first two.
Global Snow - A day out for the horse. No chance.

Summary - Should be a good fought out race even though the field is small for a group race. For me its got to be Let Me Entertain You. Mr Fuller has targetted the race so should be class type on dirt. It was very impressive when winning the Lincoln last week. By The Book should push Mr Fullers horse from entertaining us. Red Bull is one to watch for me. Could be a lively outsider.

davylad

[-]

Posts: 281

(02/17/08 12:49 PM)

Wk3 R2 Dubai Sheema Classic

Red Hill - Two decent runs but may be just out of the money this time
Dalmina - chance of some miner prize money at best
Wam Bam Thank U Maam - real threat go against at your peril
Xom - big chance for this one, won LTO after good debut
Black Or White - Will need to improve to get near the top five.
Dubin Flyer - Has the form on dirt, the one they have to beat.
Spellbinding - No real magic from this one
Ashlyn - Another that will struggle to get in the top five
Twittle - Good win over 1m6f LTO but would be surprised if it won today.
Dark Sabath - Two duck eggs tells you all you need to know.
Legacy Lad - Excellent third FTO on dirt when running quite freely, one for the shortlist.
Berberis - Berberis…. A shrub not noted for its speed.

Summary - The Lisa Huff Maiden race is the best form indicator for this race. Dublin Flyer, Wam Bam Thank U Maam, Legacy Lad and Xom filled the first four places there. Twittle won over 1m6f and would have to be something special to drop back 2 furlongs and win again. Ridden with a little more restraint I can see Legacy Lad win this from Dublin Flyer and Wam Bam Thank U Maam.

DodgyDave

[-]

Posts: 1735

(02/17/08 1:54 PM)

Developer
Trainers Office Manager
SOPL International

R5 World Cup

Urgent Matter - more urgency required but doubt it will matter
All Black Magic - enough said. Champion, eh bro!
Kings Apple - in the mix
Ibn Khaldoun - Non, No, Nyet, ... no in any language
Armani - conditions to suit?
McMahon - McNot
Enchanted Storm - a storm would help if it knocked out the rest of the field
Cershall ... shall not
The A Train ... Class A trainer, Budget Class horse
Bahr - please use more vowels in your horses' names
May Day - multiple must
Polaris - missile or miss out?
Almost There - Almost is not good enough .. ask the AB's

Who else but a Kiwi should rightfully be analysing the World Cup, especially with the AB's yet again favorite. All Black Magic's chances are greatly enhanced by the lack of pommy officiating and dodgy South African food. In fact the only barns will be where the horses are eating and defecating which is somehow symbolic. Kings Apple has the form to recommend it, including beating ABM LTO IIRC. May Day will be letting out the distress signal over the last furlong but will be in with a chance at a minor. The smokey could well be Polaris which has snuck in under the radar - she was doing her best at the end of the Sefton. A Train has good credentials but this journey looks a little short. Apparently, Armani runs well on dirt and all grounds ... which reminds me of the English all rounders who can't bat, can't bowl, and can't field. Bahr has form on dirt and the trainer is talking her chances up too. Urgent Matter was supposed to run in a Banded Race at Waimarino but obviously the entries got mixed up. All Black Magic to prevail (no quarterfinals to worry about) with Kings Apple, Poloaris and May Day in the multiple mix.

dougzer

Rosebery Hcp Race 6

[-]

Posts: 30

(02/17/08 2:59 PM)

Wk 3 Rosebery Hcp Stakes Race 6

Gold Craft: 2 miles too far FTO this trip more suitable, could be in shake up.
Bralino: Better effort over track 2nd start seems to have too much weight.
Sencapo: Didn't show much in a maiden LTO,wont be backing this.
Catch the baby: Outpaced over this trip latest, could be better on turf.Best watched.
DS Flyer: Ok performance Wk1+2 might need further or stiffer track.
No Moving: Good effort Wk 2 over this trip,Good chance.
Tweddletastic: Track/trip fine, nice win Wk1 "pushed out" could have more to come.Possible Fav.
Work out: Closely matched with No Moving on Wk2 running,getting 4lbs for 1and 1/4 lengths.Good chance.
T Lo: Sorry but no chance.
Ever Ever: Seemingly very good effort behind "By The Book"-2nd Fav for UAE Derby- hence quite alot of weight here.

Cinderella: Not much chance look elsewhere.

Supersonic: Trainer not expecting much.

Juande Ramos: Another who ran over too far Wk1.This more his trip and cant rule out even tho trainer says it wont like the track.

White Ridge: Big weight pull with Ever Ever and should get alot closer here.Possible for place.

Mighty Leader: Ditto above and was pulled up sore.Definite chance.
North Cove: Ran over too far Wk1 others prefered.
Earth Stopper: Expected better last Wk,dont fancy this.
Badly in Need: Not sure about track/trip,best left alone.
Isaac Asimov: Just about the best form on offer and another good performance looks assured.
Cooking: Too keen Wk1,ground wrong Wk2 needs improvement to figure here.
Morkel Boolaroo:Looks outclassed.

Conclusions: If By the Book were to win the UAE Derby it would suggest Ever Ever would hold solid claims but i think the weight might stop him.I like the form of ISAAC ASIMOV who looks to have a good winning chance along with WORK OUT with preference for the former.Tweddletastic if he shows any improvement is another with a chance but he wont be any value IMO.GOLD CRAFT who ran over the wrong trip FTO could well be a Hcp snip here and is worth backing E/W along with MIGHTY LEADER.

Last Edited By: dougzer 02/18/08 12:19 PM. Edited 2 times.

leonVR

[-]

Posts: 53

(02/18/08 1:22 AM)

R21 The "Leon is sure to win this banded race"

Baby Blue - Out the back both starts more of the same
Scuppered - Hint of some form first start over this distance might sneak a place
Smash n Grab -Would need to stage a hold up to win this
Tamba - With Mulrennan up this should set the pace and will fade to last as a result
Big Pony - Big chance not to win this
Opulance - No grand victory here
Stayin Alive - Bit more promise than some could sneak a place
Oath of Secrecy - Big chance with Hughes up!!!
Flying Cat - Going to have to fly to win should run a place

Small field with not much form to go by. Flying Cat, Staying Alive and Scuppered all have bits of form in better races but they are all going to have to improve dramatically to beat Oath of Secrecy. She was fifth on debut after been 6 wide the whole race and not too far off them last time after another shocking ride. Many of the horses in this field have finished behind her already and with Richard Hughes taking the ride he should get the best out of her. My final verdict is Oath of Secrecy to win, ensuring a name change for this race, to be followed home by Flying Cat and Scuppered

Last Edited By: leonVR 02/18/08 1:26 AM. Edited 1 times.

leonVR

[-]

Posts: 57

(02/18/08 4:02 AM)

R22 The Leon owns ESA banded handicap

Cahill - Doubt the increased distance will bring out any improvement
Monte Best - Will need to be at best to feature
Greavette - Trainer will get his wish with pacemaker jockey Mcevoy. Will she stay there. No,
Stripemeblue - Blue will be the feeling for the trainer after this race
Partygirl - No party for her
Spice Route - Tired late over further. This distance will be better. Big chance.
Vague - Too short last time. Big chance over this distance
Cressido - Pulled hard last time. Should be better over this distance
Budapest - Will not pester the principals. Likely to make it 3 from 3 in the last position
Holly Pepper - Stable specializes in Down under stable cast offs and this isn't one of them

An expected modest bunch of animals with the best form of any horses in this race coming over other distances. Greavette will ensure that there is a good pace under the front riding jockey Mcevoy but will fade away. Cressido had excuses last time where she pulled too hard and didn't see out the distances. She has a handy weight this time and is a big player. Vague ran a promising race at Wolverhampton 2 starts ago, his last run was too short. He has a very light weight but the booking of jockey, Eaves, raises concerns about his chances. Spice Route was still in with a shout before being run out of it close home last time and this shorter distance should be more to her liking. Culhane should get the best out of Spice Route and even though she has to give weight to all her rivals she should be good enough to win. Vague and Cressido will fill the minor placings.

Last Edited By: leonVR 02/18/08 5:16 AM. Edited 1 times.

Speedster591

[-]

Posts: 74

(02/18/08 9:02 AM)

Bookmaker & Finance Mgr.
UK Racing Association
SOPL International

R11 Baker Tilly Trophy

Quick Flick: Encouraging start to SOPL when reaching 4th at Newmarket and Alan Munro a positive booking, however this is a tougher field
and needs to put in a strong finish to get in contention, place at best here.

Dark Zulu: Not really a positive start at Newmarket last time and progress needs to be made, and with a field like this a place is the best prospect.

White lightning: Making his debut here, trainer rarely known to winners here, Dale Gibson is an interesting booking but best watched here.

Bang The Drum: Ran a stinker on his first appearance this season at Newmarket and the stiff competition won't help here, stable 12th in the winners championship with 1 winner, place at best though.

Leviathon: Definatly an encouraging start at last time out and no doubt that dcdean will be happy with that may need time to progress but it is insight, high chances here.

Gormenghast : Represents a stable that is 6th in the winners championship with 4 wins after a cracking win at Newmarket last time out in the Future Stars Colt Maiden beating several of the runners in this race, their is no reason why the race should not go his way, the one to beat.

Pacey Africa: Was running well at the start of his first run and you may have thought he had it in the bag when he struck the front half way, will need a slow pace to get into contention here and with horses like Gormenghast you can't really see him winning (trainer was shocked to see him beat three home so no confidence there, best watched.

Indian Queen: Horse making his debut and not a lot you can say as the trainer is yet to have a winner ever on SOPL and uploaded all his horses wrong, solid losing chances.

May We Go: Progressive sort, and deserves a place, he ran a good 5th in his last race and the trainer has had a winner will need softer ground to do well so trainer needs his fingers crossed for some rain here, place prospects.

Catch Me Lucy: Will need catching after a solid debut and no reason why he should not follow up on that win, trainer has had a good start to the season with 5 winners, defininate chance here.

Scroll Of Power: The form just speaks for itself and trainer no in contention for the trainers title, the underdog in this race and will be expected to loose.

Rhein Lady: Not a bad performance in her last effort when coming 8th of 20 last time out, everything would have to go his way the succeed here and her chances are not great place at best here.

Pillow: Beaten by a lenght last time out and progressionis in sight, an if he plays his cards right he could take the win, trainer has had 3 winners may take his chances in this one, leading contender.

Fully Loaded: Not a progressive looking horse and this may be a bit to much for her, nothing is on her side here and best watched.

Funseeker: I bet the trainer thought he was robbed of his winner last time out as he saw his filly get beaten by a length last time out but you could say that she could not get the extra furlong so this drop in distance maybe right up her alley, place prospects.

An interesting field in this with Gormenghast who after his win will be looking forward to this however, Catch Me Lucy won in good style on her debut and she will put up a stiff challenge, other contenders such as Leviathon, Pillow and Funseeker could deliver as well with good debut races.

Win Pick: Gormenghast

Watch Out for: Funseeker

Last Edited By: Speedster591 02/18/08 9:44 AM. Edited 2 times.

pst193

[-]

Posts: 272

(02/18/08 12:59 PM)

Race 3 - Dubai Golden Shaheen 6f Nad Al Sheeba (Dirt)

Jasmines Hero - Great form so far, winning 6f dirt maiden and only 2l 3^rd to the Dust monster in the Cammidge. Huge place chance.
Dirt Track Donkey - This donkey needs to learn to settle. If she does she will place for the Kiwi Pom from Oz. Did I get that right?
Bourbon - Twice staying on over the minimum trip so this shot at 6f makes sense. Still needs big improvement though.
Natalie - Natalie likes being 7^th and could make it the hat-trick here at best.
Salesca - Never mind Sales, couldn't give this one away.
See Ye Lass - In the money both runs but trainer would be delighted with 5^th and he's a very nice man.
Cities In Dust - The rest wont see him for Dust, they will choke on his Dust and they will die in the desert.
Ritz Fly - Improved form on turf but worryingly bad run on dirt 1^st time out.
Scratch - Trainer has had a sprint winner already and runs this one instead so she must be good. No surprise if she goes close.
Traitor - Leon - get this traitor out of your midst.
Cold Day - Cold Day in Hell if this wins, although she certainly wont be last.
Priceless - 2^nd place is almost priceless and if she repeats her impressive dirt debut, that could be possible.
Rumble On - Has run perfect trials for this over 7f and 1m1f ?! Rumbles will be heard in the Stewards Room if she wins, which she wont, so there wont be any rumbles, so I'll just shut up now.
Zong - The name reminds me of my first bet - 1979 Grand National - Zongalero - he was 2^nd, Zong wont be.

Summary: The first big sprint and the champion elect has already flexed his muscles. Cities In Dust blew the opposition away in the Cammidge Trophy and it will be a major surprise if he doesnt nail the first G1 sprint of Season 8. The race for 2nd is a cracker. Jasmines Hero got with 2L of the Dust and has already won on the dirt. Dirt Track Donkey has been too free in both her races and should go close with more restraint. Priceless ran a great race to finish 2nd on the dirt first time out and a repeat of that could just be enough to take 2nd. A fly in the ointment could be the debutant Scratch, from one of the New breed training stars. The stable has had a sprint winner already so must have a good idea of whats required here.

Verdict:

1^st-Cities In Dust 2^nd-enormous chunk of fresh air. 2^nd for real - Priceless 3^rd - Dirt Track Donkey 4^th - Jasmines Hero 5^th - Scratch

Last Edited By: pst193 02/18/08 2:40 PM. Edited 4 times.

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 303

(02/18/08 1:07 PM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Wk3 R4 Dubai Duty Free

Queen Of Darkness - Finished midfield in both starts. Races too prominent. No show in this. Oppose.
Switched On - Promising debut when 4th in 1m maiden. Finished last of 15 in the Lincoln LTO. Will be outclassed here.
Lucid - In the money in both starts. Trainer confident of a show. Could do well here. E/W.
Mehthaaf - Another slowster and near last finish im affraid. If this was a chase and 13 fell may have a chance. Oppose.
Balnchine - Debut here. Best watched. Trainer does have some nice types though.
Deadly Memories - Two good shows in first two races. Will have to improve though if to be in the money.
Sail The Seas - Consitent in both racecourse visits. Trainer bullish as always. Place prospect at best.
Bea Rush - This wont be in a rush to pass the finishing post first. Making up the numbers. Oppose.
Sweey Child Of Mine - Good debut when winning Portman Road maiden. Loves Dubai. Century Rocks main danger.
West Song - No great form to pose a real threat. Will place at best if she gets the trip.
Flying Elva - Consistent in both starts. Finished third LTO in Old Timers Maiden. Trainer not confident as horse hates dirt. Best watched.
Lyposuction - I will have it if she wins. Shown no real class to prove shes up to this step in class. No chance.
Century Rock - Finished 2nd and 1st from two starts. Looks the one they have to beat. Will have to give weight to the fillies though.
Wake Island - 1/4L behind Century Rock when second in Week 2. Should be therabouts. Will definately place.

Summary - Well a fantastic race we have in store. Another small one which is a shame. Even smaller when you scratch out the dogmeat. It has
to between 3 for me. Century Rock and Wake Island fought out the Old Timers Maiden last week with Century Rock proving the better on the day.
Mr Fullers horse has to be taken into consideration as always. I think Century Rock will win with Wake Island and Sweet Child Of Mine making up the frame.

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 02/18/08 1:40 PM. Edited 1 times.

leonVR

[-]

Posts: 62

(02/19/08 2:48 AM)

Race 17 Full Of Surprises Handicap

A Happy Event - Didn't get home last time. This distances should suit better and could cause a upset
Poetry - Midfield both starts no poetry here.
Abbeyfield -The only positive is the jockey. Not for me.
Now Mau - The Class act. Weight no problem, distance is.
New Found Land - Going to have to find some improvement to feature
Evil Life - Place prospect
Echleon - Most impressive on debut. Rising star from top sprinting yard. Will take a power of beating.
Black Garden - Going to be a black day. No chance
Turnkey - No key to victory for her. Making up the numbers
Gothic Fairy - Requires some fairy magic to feature.Will be near the back
Bea Grey - Needs rain and a grey day. Ground will be too quick
Hi Def - Excuses on debut. Could improve
Humperdink - Too far last start. Strong chance but jockey booking raises huge concern

Oriental Rocket - Will need a rocket launcher too turn the tables on some of these
West Indies - As bad as the cricket team. No chance
Hanso Sword - Class horse but this is 2 furlongs too short
Business Factor - Should be in the business end of the race. Concern is the ground
Final Kiss - Good debut. Excuses last start. Big chance but ground a concern
High Grass - Might finish higher than expected

A strong field of sprinters with question marks about a number of the runners. Now Mau is the class horse of the field and although the weight shoudn't trouble him the distance might. Hanso Sword is another class act but this is too short. Business Factor won a good race last time but the ground is a big concern. The jockey booking on Humperdink indicates a lack of confidence from the stable. A Happy Event could cause problems over this distance and Evil Life has been placed both starts. Hi Def should improve and Final Kiss last run is best ignored which brings her into the picture. However Echleon should have them all chasing shadows, she was most impressive on debut and is destined for bigger things. So its Echleon to win followed by Business Factor, Now Mau and A Happy Event. If you looking for value each way look no further than A Happy Event

Last Edited By: leonVR 02/19/08 3:38 AM. Edited 4 times.

dcdean

[-]

Posts: 102

(02/19/08 1:32 PM)

Race Secretary
National Hunt Club
SOPL International

Race 7 Queens Prize Handicap Kempton 2M

Zeed - Decent Start to the season but has more weight than most here and would need to improve anyway.
Fat Bottomed Girls - I love em all! another excellently named horse from Dave Fuller, too short here though by trainers own admission, may pinch a top 5 though.
Pakistan Star - Up in trip for Dodgy but would need to improve
Ho Ho - Judging by debut not much Ho-Ho-Hope
Danehills Girl - I would be happy if she just picks up the couple of points she needs to get into Chester cup,in that I think she would have a real crack off a low weight, trip too short today and will probably run midfield.
Artillery Room - Class act but too much weight and too long a trip, his prescence in the field however does make a big difference to the handicap.
Survival Skills - Decent debut and beat a few over a trip that was too short LTO has a nice mark and big chance here.
Moores Law - Needs to improve from A/W debut and could do on turf, others still preferred though.
Who The Feck - Trainer bouyant and may be justified after 2 good runs, might suffer though because has a few more lbs to carry than others.
Toytastic - Is closely matched with Danehills Girl on last run but gets a big weight swing here, big chance, though trip a concearn.
Raise You - Nice type from Colm, decent debut and trip possibly too far LTO, a contender.
Act of War - Would need to improve considerably to figure, unlikely.
Drawing - Suspiciously well handicaped horse from top stable, though Artillery Room running won't help still has bottom weight and could be anything.
Memphis Belle - The one they all have to beat on form but does have that extra weight to contend with at worst top 3.
Mastermind - Needs to improve on Debut but Jays horses have impressed this season, worth keeping an eye on.
Persian Punch - Only beat two on debut, no chance.

A number of interesting challangers but Artillery Room's Prescence gives the handicap a lop sided look, I am going to focus on Survival Skills, Who The Feck, Raise you, Toytastic and Memphis Belle, with outside chances being Danehills Girl, Fat Bottomed Girls and the unexposed Drawing. I think the extra weight Memphis Belle will have to carry will just be too much and for this reason, and the fact that others don't get thier ideal trip I am going with Raise You to salute for Colm.

VERDICT

1st Raise You 2nd Drawing 3rd Memphis Belle

yogidunsh

[-]

Posts: 559

(02/20/08 3:35 AM)

UKRA Vice President
SOPL International

Race 12 Predominate Stakes

Beavis And Butthead: Dropping back in trip but hard to fancy in these conditions
Blue Mondeo: Stable apparently in decline with only 4 winners last week. Still a leading chance here
Cobo Decree: Poor showing over a mile on debut. Might improve but best watched with stable yet to strike
Evil Kid: Front runner on debut and probably much better than he showed. Cannot be discounted
Hell Place: On last weeks running has a snowballs chance in Hell
Kuhtilla Beast: Chance on debut form over trip but ground is right against him
Mister Capello: Looked handicap bound after 6f debut. Should improve a lot here but stable has doubts about track
Observation Post: Impressive win on AW debut. If handling conditions he should go very close
Open Minded: Failed to build on solid AW debut when tried on turf lto. Place prospects at best
Pleasant Pheasant: Ground in his favour and big improvement likely here. Makes the shortlist
Rheingold: Looks limited on form to date and likely to find quite a few too good here
Romote: Front runner in both runs to date. Could be a Goodwood type and has ground. Live outsider
Splinter Cell: Ground against and trip possibly not ideal. Look elsewhere
The Big Cheese: Impressive debut. Big chance if handling track and ground

Analysis: The Goodwood factor, soft ground, and lack of established form, make this a very difficult one to call. On what form
is available, Observation Post, Blue Mondeo, and The Big Cheese stand out. Of the trio, the Black Lightning runner makes most
appeal having proved his ability to handle softer ground last time out. Beavis And Butthead and Mister Capello represent trainers
that are bang in form but neither seems to carry much stable confidence here. Kuhtilla Beast has form but should struggle in this ground.
Two that could be well worth watching are Pleasant Pheasant and Romote both of whom will be suited by the conditions. It would be
no surprise if either or both were to figure in the finish. The same is true for Evil Kid who could be anything. Going to give the dreaded
- and very tentative - vote of confidence to my own runner however:

Blue Mondeo from The Big Cheese and Pleasant Pheasant.

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 306

(02/20/08 9:18 AM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Wk3 R8 Further Flight Stakes

Pleasant Cat - Two average runs put this one out. Oppose.
Princess Pereira - First time over this trip. Will like the softer ground may but want it softer still. Place prospects.
End Of An Era - 5th LTO over same trip and ground. Should run well here for Mr Moores after move from Mr Hogan's yard, best watched.
Oh Vera - Another horse moved from Mr Hogan's yard. Has good form. 5th over this trip on debut but wasnt staying on so may too far.
Asunder - Will not stay and will also be outclassed. Visiting this course to make the others look better when they are so many lengths ahead.
Riselka X - Padraig's chosen one! 10th in only start over 2m. Likes soft and ideal trip. Will definately be up there. Dangerous.
Super Pom - Near last on both starts. A day out for this horse and also here to make Dodgys horse not finish last.
Custume Designer - Trainer still confident of a good run over this trip. Prefers 2m. Ground ok. Will place at best.
Opposites - Trip and ground ok. Consistent horse and trainer seems hopeful. Lively outsider for me.
Speed Limits - Perfect conditions here. Giving weight is no problem as she proved last time out. The one to beat.
Burning Fields - Two from two for Colms horse. Will run well here if the drop back in trip suits. One to keep an eye.
Banjo Player - Leon and his Banjo Player wont be winning this. A drop in class is what this horse needs.
Osprey - Ground ok not sure about the trip. Only time will tell. Ran well over 2m LTO when 5th. Not going to be in the mix today.
Lucky Polly - Will need more than luck here. Finished midfield in only start. Has to give weight also. Oppose.
Good Night - Run over 1m2f in only start. Prefers 1m4f. Running over 1m6f. Confused.com. Will be a Good Night if this places. Oppose.
Gold River - Debutant best watched.
Riverbanks - Should win by 10l. Nah Ground an trip suit. Im confident this will be in the mix. E/W
Zero - The Main danger to Speed Limits. Was 2nd to it LTO over same ground and trip. Could go one better this time if course suits. Dangerous.

Summary: Well a nice race we have in store and a big field finally. The Ledger Path Maiden is the key indicator for picking your winner here. Speed Limits
beat Zero in that race LTO. She had to give Zero 6lbs and still past the post by 1l. If this course suits then Speed Limits will be the winner again for me.
Riverbanks has done nothing wrong and ground and trip suit. Mr Fullers and Mr Hogans horse are always one not to forget. They should both be in the mix also. One more to watch is Burning Fields if the trips suits then could cause some problems in the finish.

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 02/20/08 10:14 AM. Edited 4 times.

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 315

(02/24/08 4:13 AM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Hi,

Please choose your race to review and add a reply to this post. If you want to do a specific race please add a reply stating which race. This way it will stop trainers reviewing the same race. Please edit the post though rather than adding a new one.

WEEK 4

Race 1 - Donn Stakes - Jason Burke
Race 2 - 2000 Guineas - Davy Robertson
Race 3 - 1000 Guineas - Chris Dean
Race 4 - Palace House Stakes
Race 5 - Jockey Club Stakes
Race 6 - Ladbrokes Handicap
Race 7 - Suffolk Stakes Handicap - Leon Van Rensburg
Race 8 - Sandown Mile - Graham Douglas
Race 9 - Sandown Classic Trial
Race 10 - Sagaro Stakes - Jeff Galarneau
Race 11 - Victoria Cup Handicap
Race 12 - Cheshire Oaks - Jay Valler
Race 13 - Chester Vase - Jay Valler
Race 14 - Chester Cup Handicap
Race 15 - Huxley Stakes
Race 16 - Ormonde Stakes
Race 17 - Chester Stakes Handicap
Race 18 - Chester Juvenile Maiden
Race 19 - Beat The Bookie Colts` Guineas
Race 20 - Beat The Bookie Fillies` Guineas
Race 21 - The Lets Laugh at Leon Banded Handicap
Race 22 - The Leon will be lucky to win a race Handicap

Thanks
Jay

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 02/27/08 12:35 AM. Edited 3 times.

jasonpaulburke

[-]

Posts: 319

(02/24/08 5:21 AM)

USRA Race Sec
SOPL International

Wk4 R1 Donn Stakes

Urgent Matter - 10th in the Earl Of Sefton over same trip. Drop in class needed. No chance here.
All Black Magic - 3rd in Earl OF Sefton and 2nd in Dubai World Cup. Very dangerous. Should be threabouts
Kings Apple - Very consistent horse. Has been in the frame in all 3 starts. Earl Of Sefton winner. Dangerous.
Ibn Khaldoun - No idea why this horse has been entered in this. Contender for last place. Easily Opposed.
Cape Boolaroo - Consistency over this trip. Was 3rd LTO in the Newbury Classic. Place prospects at best.
Amarni - Dirt supposed to be his favourite. No form to prove it though. Was a good 5th in the Earl Of Sefton. Place prospects,
King Of The Jungle - Soon to be retired surely tells us enough of the chances. You dont retire a potential winner so no chance.
Timelapse - Very consistent horse. First time at this trip which should help. Should be in the shake-up.
May Day - Dubai World Cup winner. Unfortunately the last time we will see this horse. Should go out in style. Leading contender
Polaris - Consistency to boast from two starts. Needs to step it up a gear if to figure here. Will be just out of the money.

Summary: Well the Dubai World and Earl Of Sefton are the races that give us the form for picking the winner here. May Day beat Kings Apple
and All Black Magic in the World Cup. The frame here should contain the same three. The winner will be decided on how the race is run. Im gonna
say May Day hoping that it ends its SOPL career with a win. All Black Magic and Kings Apple to fill the placings. I like Timelapse and think this is one to keep
an eye on.

Last Edited By: jasonpaulburke 02/27/08 1:00 AM. Edited 1 times.

davylad

[-]

Posts: 289

(02/24/08 6:41 AM)

Race 2 - 2000 guineas

The Win	good 4th FTO on dirt, shown nothing on firmer ground, needs it softer oppose.
Merve The Swerve	another one that likes it soft, give this a swerve.
Cobo Decree	shown nothing so far, oppose.
Konkers	staying on 5th in a 7f maiden, one for the shortlist.
Runyon	average form, will need to improve.
Line Dancer	races a bit too freely, if held up it could go close.
Pacman	consistant sort might sneak a place on good ground
No Shadow	step up to a mile may be just what this one needs.
Secretariat	take note trainer expects a big run this time, definate chance.
Blue Mondeo	trip looks to be a bit on the short side for this one.
Stoneacre Mason	3rd in the Easter stakes puts this one in with a live chance.
Symbol	class horse but will the ground be a problem

First time over a mile on good ground makes this a hard race to call, Line Dancer will have to be restrained to have any chance, Pacman could gobble up some prizemoney and if No Shadow gets a mile he will be a real threat. Symbol looks to be the class horse on form so far and Stoneacre Mason and Secretariat will no doubt put up a bold show.But the horse that beat them in the Easter stakes does not run, the trainer has instead opted for Konkers and that's good enough for me.

Forecast - 1st Konkers…2nd Stoneacre Mason…3rd Secretariat

Last Edited By: davylad 02/24/08 8:03 AM. Edited 2 times.

dougzer

Wk 4

[-]

Posts: 32

(02/25/08 11:49 AM)

Race 8 Sandown Mile.

Queen of Darkness: Can't see any reason to reverse earlier form with a few of these. 10/1
Switched on: Behind West Song + Sweet Child o Mine last wk, place at best. 6/1
Balnchine: Looks up against it here. 12/1
Deadly Memories: Track + ground better this wk, could surprise a few here. 14/1
Sail The Seas: Ground wrong, wouldn't advise a bet on this one. ?
Bea Rush: No chance, sprinter ?
Sweet Child o Mine: Good horse and has been running well, stiff finish might find him out. 3/1 Fav
West Song: Very good run last wk, penalty here but will go close. 6/1
Flying Elva: Behind 3 of these last wk but staying on so track will help.Good chance. 5/1
Lyposuction: No chance. ?
Century Rock: In good form despite running from the front, massive chance if he settles. 7/2 2nd fav
Wake Island: Decent form chance of a place. 6/1

Conclusion: Quite a tricky race with a few of these having already run against each other.I feel SWEET CHILD OF MINE may struggle to get home on this track and at the price is best left alone here.WEST SONG looks to have a good chance( penalty puts me off though ) along with FLYING ELVA who was staying on nicely LTO.My idea of the winner is CENTURY ROCK who has been running well this season inspite of the front running tactics, could dot up if ridden with more restraint.One for E/W backers could be DEADLY MEMORIES, behind a few of these this season already but has no trip and ground worries here and at 14/1 looks great value.

jpg777

Race 10 - Sagaro Stakes

[-]

Posts: 7

(02/25/08 6:38 PM)

USRA Race Commentator
SOPL International

Another Karma - Decent run in first start of season last week. Feel she'll need to improve here.
Princess Pereira - 2 good runs this distance so far. Gets preferred going here. Trainer feels she'll be right there, and so do I.
End Of An Era - Has run 5th in all 3 starts this year. Distance is a concern, and this one will be hard pressed to run even 5th here.
Boo Yeah - Back to open company after whipping restricted field in last. Ground doesn't really suit. Expect a regression here.
Ho Ho - Has no chance here.
Go Deep - Absolutely no hope. Will she beat Ho Ho?
What The Feck - Beat many of these in week 2 maiden race, then backtracked slightly giving weight in last. Should be right there.
Kirkby Girl - Can't recommend in 1st start of year. Not sure on distance.
Burning Fields - Disappointed in last going shorter. Expect improvement to previous form here. Right there.
Second Fiddle - Well beaten by Boo Yeah in restricted race last week. Not expecting much.
Osprey - Back to preferred distance and going, but only expect minor placing at best.
Pj Willow - Another beaten down by Boo Yeah in last. Midfield finish at best.
Quiz Night - Not been seen since beating a few of these soundly in week 1 maiden at this distance. Not completely sold on this one, but will be right there with similar effort.
Overall - Another that beat a handful of these in week 1 maiden. Won easily while going a bit shorter than she prefers. Has preferred distance and going here. Top choice.
Mastermind - Beat Who The Feck by about a length getting 8 lbs in last. Will be on the other end by more than a length to that one here.

Summary - A race with many of these having faced off more than once, as well as 2 easy maiden winners making their second starts, and a couple of clunkers thrown in for good measure. I feel Overall will improve on nice maiden score with increased distance and move to the grass here. She'll be very tough to beat. I feel Who The Feck, Princess Pereira, and Burning Fields will be battling it out for the 2nd spot, although I feel Quiz Night could be in the mix with those 3, something tells me she's a shade below them though.

Selections:
1. Overall
2. Who The Feck
3. Princess Pereira

Good luck at the races!

Last Edited By: jpg777 02/2

Yuku free message boards

Race Reviews

Race Reviews